The Miller Rules formula (which the Berger calculator uses) is geared to conventional FMJBT, HPBT or BTSP form bullets. There are two features on varmint type bullets that can (and usually do) give overly low Sg values. First, many such bullets barely have a boat-tail, only a slight bevel. Miller / Berger doesn't work for flat-bases and the actual twist rate needed is in the order of +1 to +2 in terms of inches barrel rifling twist compared to a same length boat-tail design. (That's why the Berger calculator has a link to a table of recommended twist rates for its flat-base designs.) I imagine many light varmint bullets fall between true match style boat-tail and FB shapes and required twists with it, but can't comment on the Nosler.
Secondly, and likely having a much greater effect, is the synthetic bullet tip which increases the OAL considerably, but is made of a much lower density material than the rest of the bullet. Miller used a compromise density value for the mix of gilding metal (brass) and lead in conventional lead-core bullets. The precise effects of a low density tip increasing the bullet OAL is a bit contentious, but it's generally accepted that as with FB designs you need a lower rotation / slower rifling twist than for a conventional BT bullet.
This (plastic tipped bullet stability) issue has been looked at in other posts on SD. Here's a fairly recent thread on it with links to the Miller-Courtney calculator that takes this factor into account.
Bullet stability