enfieldspares
Well-Known Member
Ah the DRC. Lovely country but not at all the sort of government anyone would like to live under. I used to go past their embassy in Paris on the street Cours Albert 1er when working in Paris.
One of the biggest problems with all green energy is storage. For example there is plenty of wind in the UK for turbines ( plenty of hot wind on here sometimes) but it doesn't always blow. So when it doesn't blow there is a shortage that needs to be supplied, usually by burning something. I saw something a few weeks ago regarding a new liquid air storage facility, I think in the UK. So excess electricity is used to compress air, which can then be stored easily and used to supplement other sources as needed. That sort of thing has to be a part of the future of energy, not just in countries like the UK, but worldwide. I just don't see batteries working on a large scale. I don't think there is a single answer to energy in the future, it will be a combination of different sources and technologies with some working in some places but not others. One thing is for certain, things will change and probably quite quickly.
Oh! and £4 billion is not going to cover anything.
But you've fallen for the green lobby hype BJ. What the figures of 2000 and 2150 or 2200 should be caveated with are the words "economically exploitable" reserves. As the price goes up ponds of oil and seams of coal once not worth the cost realised for the cost expended to extract it become more attractive to exploit. A case in point is copper. A century ago the ore that we mine today for copper wouldn't even have been considered worth mining. In fact it could have only been mined at a considerable loss. Nowadays that once rejected ore is profitable to now exploit. Yes all things such are of course finite but that benchmark of "2000" or "2150/2020" is more likely set against the price presently achievable.The peak in the world production of crude oil was expected to have occurred at about the year 2000 and that for coal production at about 2150 or 2200.
On this, above, I share the same pessimism and I very much fear that you are right.The new religions of climate change etc - like all good lies - have some basis in truth - however their purpose is not to control global warming or habitat loss (too many humans for that), but to get us to accept a level of control of personal freedoms the like of which humans have not experienced for a long time (if ever)
It is more likely that electric cars will be the transport of the rich or those more ''politically equal'' (sorry Mr Orwell)
The rest of us will be restricted to public transport and only if we have a 'pass' to allow travel
Pass laws - an invention of apartheid - will shortly be our new reality
This is, I believe, the new Globalist dream - I hope I'm wrong
But you've fallen for the green lobby hype BJ. What the figures of 2000 and 2150 or 2200 should be caveated with are the words "economically exploitable" reserves. As the price goes up ponds of oil and seams of coal once not worth the cost realised for the cost expended to extract it become more attractive to exploit. A case in point is copper. A century ago the ore that we mine today for copper wouldn't even have been considered worth mining. In fact it could have only been mined at a considerable loss. Nowadays that once rejected ore is profitable to now exploit. Yes all things such are of course finite but that benchmark of "2000" or "2150/2020" is more likely set against the price presently achievable.
No chance of that. They keep going wrong. With the amount leaving the trade we are becoming a dying breed.With less cars then you might be out of work.
I did 50 years in the business but am glad to be off the rat race.
There are no subsidies as such, just tax breaks and interest free loans. The real advantage is that electricity is way cheaper than fuel.
No not at 80-90, but it’s still not bad. Just like regular card don’t get anywhere near the stated mileage if you drive fast on the motorway. It’s still pretty good though, and like I say you can recharge at 600mph which means it’s really not taking that long to get filled up again.. 100 miles in 10 minutes.
Battery Maintenance technology has improved massively along with the batteries themselves, so although performance (Range) will undoubtedly drop off they’re not going to drop to zero. Maybe a car that would do 300 miles will only do 150, someone will still want that...
There’s already a pretty good charging network, so I’m not worried about that at all.
The economics do add up, if our fuel was tax free then yes diesel would be cheaper, but do you really see them slashing fuel duty any time soon? It only ever goes one way. I wouldn’t have bought one if the economics didn’t add up, I was as sceptical as you 6 months ago. But i did the maths on buying a £30k famIly car vs the nearly £50k Tesla over 5 years and the Tesla won. Even if you look at it over 8 years (which is the Tesla battery warranty) and write the Tesla down to zero the massive saving in fuel cost still makes the Tesla cheaper. For me anyway, factoring in the tax advantages.
The other thing is there’s every likelihood that electric vehicles will be much more reliable than petrol or diesel. If you think about an engine, there’s so much to go wrong, heavy parts change direction thousands of times a minute, piston rings scrape up and down the bores, belts cogs and chains all spinning around, sensors, coolant, oil, DPF, add blue, etc etc.. an electric motor is a spindle running on a fixed axis, there’s nothing changing direction, it’s just a bearing either end. Industrial motors can rack up thousands of hours without any maintenance. That’s the other advantage of electric, servicing costs are way less..
If what you say above is correct then NOW is the time to buy electric, not in 5-10 years when all the benefits are gone. As for the charging, I topped up at a local council charger today as I had some calls to make and emails to send. That particular one charged at 170mph, which is still pretty good, I put a quick 70 miles on and off I went. all for free... its not just the Tesla chargers that are fast, BP and other companies are rolling out fast ones too.So an electric vehicle is a good deal, as long, and only as long as the calculation includes the wide range of enormous market distortions the government has applied to them.
i.e.
1. Company car tax breaks,
2. Vehicle tax breaks,
3. Fuel/electricity taxed at 5% vs. ca. 200% on conventional cars,
4 .Parking charge differentials
5. Subsidies to charging point providers
6. I don't know if you still get a government grant for buying EVs.
It also ignores the egregious charges for electricity that non-home chargers make. The charger opposite my flat has a mark up of over 100% at its cheapest rate, for example, and it is by no means the worst.
These are all massive and only temporary market distortions favouring EVs now. Once EVs become mainstream, then they'll get hit with the £40 billion per year taxes that motorists currently pay. The subsidy only exists to get people to switch, and to bribe industry to provide the vehicles.
The regular car won't do anything like its stated fuel efficiency, but it still does at least 500miles per tank no matter what speed you do, which is plenty for a day's driving in the UK. If the actual efficiency difference for electric cars is the same as motor cars - and you're being deliberately coy on this point, which doesn't inspire confidence - then we're talking about maybe 200-230 miles - followed by 30 mins charging IF it's a Tesla and there's an available Tesla supercharging point at that point on the route.
The charging network is currently provided as a subsidy. Eventually, in the absence of subsidies, if they doesn't pay for themselves stations will have to close. It's an undeniable force of economics.
In Europe just under 61% of motor vehicle emissions come from cars. Light trucks represent nearly 12%, whilst HGV's account for 26% - the residual 1.2% is from motorcycles.
Cars are the low-hanging fruit. LGV's and HGV's will be a much tougher nut to crack. The weight of the necessary batteries clearly has a major impact on the payload they can carry, and the need for ancillary equipment such as the tachograph, refrigeration, etc will increase the power draw and further reduce the effective range.
Frequent re-charging means longer journey times, so together with the reduce payload this means more trucks will be needed to deliver the same amount of freight. One of the impacts of Covid has been the huge increase in retail in general and eCommerce in particular - all of it requiring more transportation. So saving the planet will be achieved by putting more vehicles on the road!
A lot of research and investment is taking place, but we are still some way off electric HGV's. Some prototypes look impressive......until you learn that they were only able to film them moving because they were on a gradient and rolling downhill, so not actually relying on the batteries at all.