African swine fever near Barcelona

The devil being in the details.

1 We agree that the Sun varies in distance from Earth, as both bodies have non concentric but rather variable orbits; so far, hopefully so good.; the ‘relatively static’ nature of the energy received is hotly’ 😆 disputed, however. The Sun’s own little dance varies up to two diameters width of the star - and volume wise, our Earth would fit into the Sun some 1,3 million times, so it is large. The amount of energy emitted by the Sun varies, as can be observed and measured, this has been observed for centuries, and explains the various warmer and cooler periods of Earth’s climate. All previous warming periods (there have of course been many) have not been significantly affected by the carbon dioxide levels of the Earths atmosphere.
This warming and cooling intervals are also exacerbated (or mitigated somewhat) according to the position/distance of the Sun according to its proximity to Earth

A difference of two diameters of the Sun is significant, but between 1600-2600 we are actually going through a phase of getting gradually less distant to the Sun, due to its closer proximity to tje Earth due to its varying orbit and gravitational pull of the planets ) its a celestial mechanics thing, but stick with it - every other star observed with planets wobbles in exactly the same way, see again Tom Nelson podcast nr 42 and 278 (- around 1 hour in on No 42). This eccentric orbit of the Sun is confirmed by the Paris Madone and Royal Belgian astronomers, as well as NASA, but perhaps not by the Tring Observatory. Be this as it may, it is the energy output of the Sun which is predicted to lessen beyond this the second ‘Gnevyshev’ peak within the current solar cycle. This is explained in detail by Professor Zharlova in both videos , though is again ignored by our Stringfellow. This his contention that tje energy output of the Sun is relatively static - but were this the case, all previous short term fluctuations in climate would not have occurred, which is contrary to the observed and recorded evidence.

Even Bill Gates acknowledges the con has run its course, but news of this development appears to have passed by the tropic of Tring.

Here again for the intelligent is the information. Beyond 2050 it will be the case that tje Sun will continue to draw closer to Earth but this has Zero to do with carbon dioxide levels, as previously explained. Try around 54:30
and onward for the nature and extent of the influence of the Sun’s proximity relative to Earth, for the ‘how the energy of the Sun varies relative to the interaction of its two slightly different wave oscillations’, best start at the beginning. See also podcast 278 which also explains the mechanics in some detail.


Not long to find out either way…

What you believe about carbon dioxide, man made or otherwise, won’t change matters one jot, apart from on your energy bills. Imagine a situation where people are somehow convinced that by giving their money to the Government, it will then go and change the climate 😆

‘Think of sitting in a conservatory on a sunny day and turning a heater on. It gets hotter!!’ - thing is, you’re conflating carbon dioxide with heat - they ain’t the same, otherwise the garden centres which raise carbon dioxide levels in order to green up plants they’re selling would
become intolerably warm, and submarines would cook their occupants, which is clearly nonsense. Like your argument really.
 
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The devil being in the details.

1 We agree that the Sun varies in distance from Earth, as both bodies have non concentric but rather variable orbits; so far, hopefully so good.; the ‘relatively static’ nature of the energy received is hotly’ 😆 disputed, however. The Sun’s own little dance varies up to two diameters width of the star - and volume wise, our Earth would fit into the Sun some 1,3 million times, so it is large. The amount of energy emitted by the Sun varies, as can be observed and measured, this has been observed for centuries, and explains the various warmer and cooler periods of Earth’s climate. All previous warming periods (there have of course been many) have not been significantly affected by the carbon dioxide levels of the Earths atmosphere.
This warming and cooling intervals are also exacerbated (or mitigated somewhat) according to the position/distance of the Sun according to its proximity to Earth

A difference of two diameters of the Sun is significant, but between 1600-2600 we are actually going through a phase of getting gradually less distant to the Sun, due to its closer proximity to tje Earth due to its varying orbit and gravitational pull of the planets ) its a celestial mechanics thing, but stick with it - every other star observed with planets wobbles in exactly the same way, see again Tom Nelson podcast nr 42 and 278 (- around 1 hour in on No 42). This eccentric orbit of the Sun is confirmed by the Paris Madone and Royal Belgian astronomers, as well as NASA, but perhaps not by the Tring Observatory. Be this as it may, it is the energy output of the Sun which is predicted to lessen beyond this the second ‘Gnevyshev’ peak within the current solar cycle. This is explained in detail by Professor Zharlova in both videos , though is again ignored by our Stringfellow. This his contention that tje energy output of the Sun is relatively static - but were this the case, all previous short term fluctuations in climate would not have occurred, which is contrary to the observed and recorded evidence.

Even Bill Gates acknowledges the con has run its course, but news of this development appears to have passed by the tropic of Tring.

Here again for the intelligent is the information. Beyond 2050 it will be the case that tje Sun will continue to draw closer to Earth but this has Zero to do with carbon dioxide levels, as previously explained. Try around 54:30
and onward for the nature and extent of the influence of the Sun’s proximity relative to Earth, for the ‘how the energy of the Sun varies relative to the interaction of its two slightly different wave oscillations’, best start at the beginning. See also podcast 278 which also explains the mechanics in some detail.


Not long to find out either way…

What you believe about carbon dioxide, man made or otherwise, won’t change matters one jot, apart from on your energy bills. Imagine a situation where people are somehow convinced that by giving their money to the Government, it will then go and change the climate 😆

‘Think of sitting in a conservatory on a sunny day and turning a heater on. It gets hotter!!’ - thing is, you’re conflating carbon dioxide with heat - they ain’t the same, otherwise the garden centres which raise carbon dioxide levels in order to green up plants they’re selling would
become intolerably warm, and submarines would cook their occupants, which is clearly nonsense. Like your argument really.

So if we are getting vastly more solar radiation reaching the earth, then why aren’t we seeing it in records?

Care to explain this?
1764770629480.webp
 
But that doesn’t account for the huge amounts of additional energy that would be needed to raise our air and sea temperatures as much as they have over the last 50 years.
If that was all down to solar flares then we would be toast.

Simple thermodynamics I’m afraid.
If we convert stored energy to heat then it adds to the energy entering our atmosphere and raises the temperature.

FWIW we are talking about huge amounts of energy needed to create the results we are seeing, and that isn’t all coming from the sun.
I agree..... my point was sun is on a cycle and its not the cause ...otherwise every 11yrs we would see spike in our planet temps... we dont

Paul
 
So if we are getting vastly more solar radiation reaching the earth, then why aren’t we seeing it in records?

Care to explain this?
View attachment 449748
Judging by the false information contained in it as to the temperatures in recent times where even NASA agree there has been something of a ‘pause’ in the rate of warming, I’d say the easiest explanation is it’s junk as far as the temperature gradient is concerned; the trend in the solar cycles however is in line with the work of Abdussamatov and many others who have highlighted both the peak in December 1957 as indeed being the high point where in the present Gleissberg cycle, and ever since the solar activity has been on a trend downward until the present day, where beyond this second of the solar maximal peaks we are heading toward a two-cycle period (22years approximately) from 2030 where there will be a greatly reduced number of sunspots, with all that will come from that.

Since you wish to trade pretty pictures, though…
IMG_5496.webp


IMG_5486.webp
Ice coverage in the Arctic. Interesting to note that the coldest Antarctic winters have been recorded in the last three years, despite the suggestion of the highly dubious temperature graphic (top);
IMG_3311.webp
Solar inertial motion, one of the factors, but by no means the most significant in terms of our climate on Earth;

IMG_3310.webp
The explanation in a nutshell. In essence your planetary warming is due to the impact of the large planets (Jupiter, Saturn) on solar inertial motion. Best you watch the video and learn a little.


image2.webp
The solar dynamo model as calculated by Popova, Zharkova et al; the red circle in the upper graphic indicates where we are in terms of solar activity for the coming twenty years. Increased cosmic rays due to lessening of Solar magnetosphere and subsequent impact on our own planet’s (presently weakening) magnetosphere -see movement of both magnetic poles, the magnetic South Pole isn’t even on Antarctica now, the North magnetic pole is heading toward Siberia at around 6 miles per month; expect increased tectonic and volcanic activity as the Sun’s activity decreases - its another known and recorded phenomenon associated with lessened TSI. See Svendsmark et al on the subject too.
 
Interesting discussion, although, suffering from the usual polarised opinions. I think there is truth in both sides arguments and that the situation we are in has been manipulated politically and ideologically. The one thing that is true however is that our ( As in the UK, Europe) behaviours effect on emissions etc makes **** all difference significantly to the levels of emissions. China being the main culprit and they don’t give a monkeys about it. So beggaring our economies and destroying our carefully acquired civilisation on the alter of “net zero” makes no sense. What is more certain is that uncontrolled population migration will destroy us well before any naturally occurring phenomena……..
 
So explain the increasing rate of change that we are experiencing.
We know it’s bugger all to do with increasing solar activity (we have been there before)
If you trouble yourself sufficiently to understand what the scientists at CERN along with Svensmark have shown concerning the role of cosmic rays in the production of clouds, then you wouldn’t have to ask such a question; it’s not a popularity contest, we know just how much money and effort has been totally wasted in the crackpot pursuit of the human-induced carbon dioxide “hypothesis”, but the work shows that when solar energy is at a high level (which the graphs demonstrate and your all-time greatness yourself suggest) the Sun acts as a shield for the planets from the aforementioned cosmic rays.

We can understand the Sun is now on the point of ‘taking a nap’ in terms of energy output ( per Abdussamatov, Popova, Zharkova, and others) meaning that more cosmic rays will bombard our atmosphere, helping to cause more cloud formation, just as Svensmark’s results have ably demonstrated (- but you have to watch his presentation to understand of course, so you may be disadvantaged in that respect being so childish as to refuse all challenge to your own pet idea, disproven though it clearly is, and has been for well over a century).



Put the monkey down for a half hour, it’ll do you good, if not the monkey.
 
Interesting discussion, although, suffering from the usual polarised opinions. I think there is truth in both sides arguments and that the situation we are in has been manipulated politically and ideologically. The one thing that is true however is that our ( As in the UK, Europe) behaviours effect on emissions etc makes **** all difference significantly to the levels of emissions. China being the main culprit and they don’t give a monkeys about it. So beggaring our economies and destroying our carefully acquired civilisation on the alter of “net zero” makes no sense. What is more certain is that uncontrolled population migration will destroy us well before any naturally occurring phenomena……..
Consider the regular frequency of the ‘Bok globular’…. not too sure the migration thing will change things for those of us in Europe. Indeed, consider all the related evidence that we ‘swim innocently’ in.



Climate change is but a red herring.
 
Methane - the irrelevant Greenhouse Gas, with Dr Thomas P Sheahen - look it up. At 2 parts per million and a short life in the atmosphere, I don’t think it’s an issue. I know you won’t, but intelligent people might.

You make it sound like 2ppm is a small number.

To paraphrase your own words, maybe to you it is, but to intelligent people it isn't.

Take for example Bitrex, it has a perceivable bitterness at 0.05 and 0.01ppm for it's two active ingredients.

Plenty other examples out there. Slightly higher than your 2ppm, but at 10-20ppm in blood plasma, is the therapeutic range for paracetamol.

2ppm might be small on layman terms, but not in science I'm afraid.

Going to let everyone else "enjoy" the rest of your arguments. That's enough of that for me.
 
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You make it sound like 2ppm is a small number.

To paraphrase your own words, maybe to you it is, but to intelligent people it isn't.

Take for example Bitrex, it has a perceivable bitterness at 0.05 and 0.01ppm for it's two active ingredients.

Plenty other examples out there. Slightly higher than your 2ppm, but at 10-20ppm in blood plasma, is the therapeutic range for paracetamol.

2ppm might be small on layman terms, but not in science I'm afraid.

Going to let everyone else "enjoy" the rest of your arguments. That's enough of that for me.
As you wish, and indeed the shorthand language could be better chosen, but this does not alter the properties of of methane insofar as their rate of breakdown in the wider atmosphere and the relatively fleeting nature of its action as a ‘greenhouse gas’.
 
As you wish, and indeed the shorthand language could be better chosen, but this does not alter the properties of of methane insofar as their rate of breakdown in the wider atmosphere and the relatively fleeting nature of its action as a ‘greenhouse gas’.
But it’s proven that methane has an effect greater than 10x that of co2 when it comes to the greenhouse effect.
All of this has been tested and proven - it’s not theory
 
Can you two take your discussion somewhere else, perhaps call it the Tring Summit? What it has to do with asf is tenuous and a subject on its own.
The threat that we face from foreign bacteria, insects and viruses into our native flora and fauna is growing year by year and is being exacerbated by climate change.
This will affect your food, wildlife and local environment, so you should be really bothered.
Sorry if I bore you, however.
 
Latest update below, looks like Bavarianbrit's sandwich theory is now being adopted!

Its not my theory, they have enough documented cases of snap being found in German laybys and dead boar then found nearby.
My berufsjaeger pal Rene is for the last few years an official boar cadaver searcher using his trained hounds in the Rheinland Pfalz area of Germany. He told me this.
 
Sounds like a great opportunity for UK volunteers to head to Spain and indulge in some wild boar hunting! In all seriousness, they need to firewall the whole area, perhaps even double the area they have now, cordon it with the army and send in hundreds of carefully orgainised hunters with kill boxes to kill every pig inside, then incinerate the bodies........
The ciurrent response seems a little underwhelming considering the possible economic implications to the industry........
 
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