The other interesting thing was variations between brass in terms of quality, consistency and case thickness. We annealed perhaps a few hundred cases and timings varied between makes by as much as 2 full seconds using propane in my "Raptor Calls" annealer.
@mealiejimmy found much the same with his own induction annealer, doing it scientifically using a calibrated hardness tester. Likewise AMP have done a lot of research into the same thing. Not all brass is the same. Flame annealing is, I think a bit old-school, but the cost of entry for a commercial induction machine is still high.
Cyres also brought with him his 3-decimal place electronic scales (RRP £40) made by "on Balance" being their 50gr capacity Carat digital mini scales.
Despite the talk in the thread decrying such inexpensive scales as "cheap and inaccurate" (words to that effect) they were anything but. I checked them against my own £265 Lyman loading scale and another specialist calibrated digital scale and they were every bit as accurate with repeatable accuracy across the complete range down to 0.05 grains. Very popular with drug dealers allegedly!
Yes, as previously said, I too have had great luck with my inexpensive milligram resolution (0.02 grains) scales, I have two sets, different makes (just in case one goes down) and have also tested them with lab grade cal. weights.
I trust them far more than say relying on an automatic powder thrower, supposedly in the +/- 0.1 gr resolution class. Not that I have used one myself, but did help another evaluate his new Chargemaster Lite. He was pleased with it, I was not so much impressed, but kept my counsel on that. Or a typical digital scale sold for reloaders, again +/- 0.1 gr. Or a beam balance. Particularly as you, and Laurie have discovered, even 0.1gr absolute variations can make such a difference in small cases.
I suspect that in trueing GRT to match the real world MVs actually discovered, you have compensated for what might well have been a rather poor model of the specific powder concerned. If so it won't have necessarily made that model any better, over all conditions and chamberings, but might be worth feeding back your results to "The Community" to add to their knowledge base.
Though, curiously, I think that P-Max gave me a better insight, at the outset, with pure guesswork on my part. I also wonder where QuickLOAD fits in, unadjusted.
I've just repeated it, for your seemingly safe (uncorrected GRT) suggested load, using the same defaults I used the first time.
Your load:
30.7gr BL-C2 under a 35gr Berger Varmint @ 2.25COL, we have a measured velocity of 3872fps
Again severe overpressure predicted, 62,035 psi. Presumably GRT, uncorrected, didn't predict that, initially.
Tried again, this time at your (corrected) GRT suggested max safe node,
29.4gr BL-C2 for around 3710fps although BLT and OBT are a little apart at 0.91mS V's 0.85mS. Still looking a bit high on pressure but within upper limit.

So, I tweaked P-Max to match the muzzle velocity 3541 fps of your simulated (not yet tested ?) load the only way I know how, by adjusting powder space. Only took a few seconds. In fact the whole re-visit by me only took a few minutes. Anything with a web browser can access P-Max, no installation required. The hard work is all done behind the scenes, by his server.
So now we have two simulators theoretically aligned as far as predicted MV is concerned anyway.
It only took 1.8 grs water increase (0.12 cc) to match it. Within the sort of differences you've already measured between different makes of brass. 30.9gr water powder space, behind the bullet. Not the overflowing method followed by calculation of how much if that is lost when seating the bullet, I think the way that GRT, and QL do it. Might be interesting for you to try actually measuring it the borbal way, injected into the flash hole, with your bullet, seated at your depth to see how they compare.
Or a simple difference in primer could do that. Or neck tension, crimp etc.
You predict barrel time 0.91 ms. P=Max says 0.85 ms (exactly your predicted OBT)
Pressure is looking safe, but P-Max (corrected) still says you would be on the ragged edge by 31 gr. Get it wrong by half a grain, or a slight case capacity variation, change of primer, let your ammo get too hot in the sun etc. etc. and you could easily be over-pressure again. Which seems to be the recurring theme emerging.
Which model is closer, I have absolutely no idea. But at least the pressure now looks good.
I still think that weight-sorting a specific batch of one make of brass can give a pretty good insight into likely internal powder space variations in that batch, rather than laborious water measurements of each one. Assuming FL sized, and identical trim length. The way Norma do it, or suggest you do. And am prepared to discuss why, though I did bang on boringly about this on some much earlier thread, which escapes me ATM. Hint, brass density is about 8.5 grams/cc, but within quite a range of densities. That's for standard 60:40 brass. Cartridge brass is more like 70:30 copper to zinc, so probably a bit denser, depending on exactly what a particular manufacturer has chosen to use. Water 1.0. I reckon, other things being equal, that say measuring a 1gr variation in brass weight would give perhaps eight and a half times more precision in assessing powder space than say a 1gr water weight difference.
Anyway, great work, thanks for sharing. I've learned a lot from this, and your real-world experiences. Time I went to bed.