It seems to me that for a tiny minority of half a dozen SD members dominating this thread that this is not really about lead ammunition, its not even about the science, its about various axes to grind with BASC and also misconceived opposition to game shooting interests.
The CA, CPSA and NGO published statements on their websites when the HSE announced its recommendations. Snippets as follows. CA:
The removal of lead from shooting will confirm the status of game shooters and wildlife managers amongst the foremost conservationists in the UK. CPSA: I
n early 2025 we will be setting up a working group of CPSA board members, ground operators & partners from the gun trade, to plan this potential key change for our sport in the coming years. NGO:
Lead exposure poses serious risks to wildlife, domestic animals, and humans, particularly children. This move supports conservation and aligns with existing efforts across Europe.
The reaction from the half dozen? No concerns raised. No outrage. No capitulation memes.
I have provided some science on lead shot ingestion by gamebirds in the UK and it's become quite evident that there is denial not only about the science on lead shot ingestion by birds in terrestrial habitats but also by wildfowl in wetlands habitats. And that's after a quarter of a century since wetlands restrictions came into effect in England.
As for swans not ingesting lead shot, that is misinformation, and if anyone wants to read about lead shot ingestion in swans I suggestion you start with this 2016 paper and work backwards on all the evidence contained in that paper for mute, whooper and Bewick's swan.
Widespread exposure to lead affects the body condition of free-living whooper swans Cygnus cygnus wintering in Britain
As regards lead shot for live quarry shooting the political reality is that it is not a matter of 'if', but 'when', further restrictions come into force in the UK and EU.
During its review the HSE wanted a three year transition period before a ban on lead shot for live quarry came into force, however, BASC argued successfully for five years. We await a government response to the HSE recommendations on that and all the various uses of lead ammunition for outdoor recreational shooting.
I don't envisage any shooting organisation arguing against the science regarding the impact of lead shot ingestion by birds as a means to oppose new legislation on lead shot for live quarry shooting. The GWCT has reviewed and agreed with the science and reducing that impact is what underpins the voluntary transition away from lead shot for live quarry shooting. However, there may be arguments around timelines and exemptions depending on what Defra announces and any of us can contact our MPs (and/or our elected members of Senedd/Scottish Parliament) with our own views.
It is also worth noting that it is unclear how changes in legislation will be brought in - will they be at GB level, or will they be by Westminster for England, the Welsh Assembly for Wales, and Scottish Parliament for Scotland. Also note that NI is not subject to any decision based on the HSE recommendations, but would be subject to the EU regulations to further restrict lead ammunition.
As regards the HSE recommendations and a pending decision, here is a recent Scottish Parliament Q&A which indicates a 'UK statutory instrument'.
The Scottish Parliament examines what the Scottish Government is doing, makes new laws on devolved matters and debates the issues of the day.
www.parliament.scot
Here are some recent House of Commons PQs.