Your rather flippant response falls down at the first hurdle, they 'believe' , 'they' cant find any real evidence that lead from firearm use is causing detriment to health, so they simply quote lead per se is.
Hence a phase out of lead projectiles, whilst completely ignoring lead poisoning from just about every other area, including water supply.
If you truly believe that lead shot and eventually bullets, will be outlawed because of environmental concerns, then I feel quite sorry for your rather naive state of mind.
They will of course be banning lead in military use ? Likely at the same time that MBTs are running on 'clean' electric motors, and fighter jets are powered by recycled fart gas ?
Private firearm ownership is doomed, of that there is no doubt, when firearms users welcome changes that curtail efficient use of materials, and instead opt for more expensive and inefficient projectiles , even when they dont have to.
The sad part is they actually convince themselves that the copper/bismuth/steel substitutes are actually better !
The even sadder part is , 10-20 years down the line, copper and bismuth will become environmentally unfriendly too, and the last few firearms users will have to resort to spears and bows.
The tragedy of the whole situation is the BASC attitude, they reeled us in with a promise to protect the sport, swelled membership....then dumped on us from a great height, without consultation, and with no avenue of back track, despite the massive losses they have sustained in membership.
They literally couldnt give a flying one about you me , or 99.9 % of this forum, theyre interests are corporate, as that is the safest area of shooting , and will , in their belief be the last to go.
Last try on the lead issue, the evidence is there and its clear and unambiguous.
In summary, lead is bad because it is a poison.
It doesn’t matter whether the lead is in sheets on roofs, water pipes, paint or bullets and pellets, its poison and you’re not going to be allowed to use it, especially, you’re not going to be allowed to use it in a discretionary past time where alternatives are available, it doesn’t matter whether you agree or not, you’re not going to be allowed to use it just in case you might poison someone or something else.
If you don't like the science, tough, you still can’t use lead because a lot of people dont want to take the risk.
I agree with some of your other points, private firearms will be banned, but I don’t think lead will have anything to do with it, the argument is already pretty well advanced on several fronts, if you can ban shooting game you can legitimately exclude most of us from firearm ownership, the media are already virulently anti - gun so it wont take much of a shove, and theres sweet feck all to be done about it, that particular ball is already rolling down the hill at a fair speed.
BASC, FACE etc have an impossible and thankless task on their hands, do you really think that they didn’t pursue every avenue in a bid to keep lead ammunition?
This campaign has been rumbling away for 30 years, eventually they HAD to accept that lead was going because in a very risk averse world they had no counter to the medical “zero acceptable level “ argument.
BASC, FACE etc do actually care, this is just one battle that couldn’t be won, better to re-group and save our energy for the next one.
Participation in just about every outdoor activity, including golf, is declining as the Millennial generation comes of age, they're mainly screen orientated and don't like the discomfort and unpredictability of the great outdoors, but these are the army of guys and girls that can be mobilised in a mouse click and have the corporate world terrified. Pick you’re own favourite example of a keyboard army forcing a climb down and grovelling apology from the CEO of a major company for something totally trivial.
Be afraid, you’re not paranoid, the suckers are out to get us.