No they won't. When you remove the management and plant all the moorland with trees, the grouse will become an endangered species and if you have removed all the suitable heather moorland then there is no quick rescue solution available.
Its quite simple and clear from my own piece of land here, they used to shoot 50 brace of grouse in a day before they even reached the heather, and now they are a handful of grouse on circa 2000 acres - what is it that you don't get?
I actually DO get it, I’m neither for or against what’s proposed, its policy which is tied to your national commitments on climate change and carbon capture.
So it’s going to happen, just like you’re going to be forced out of your diesel car very shortly.
A major part of your carbon capture plan involves planting trees or allowing trees or shrubs to grow where there are none now. Have a look around, where do you think all these trees are going? They’re not going on lowland tillage farms ( they’ll be covered in solar energy panels) so where’s left thats not already planted?
You’re absolutely correct about grouse numbers too, remove the management and numbers will crash from what you currently have to a far lower number, but they won’t disappear entirely. It’ll be similar to here, a few coveys scratching out a living with a very long hike between sightings, you definitely will not have the concentrations you rely on for driven shoots.
Once they get rare maybe the RSPB will decide to manage some of their reserves for grouse because people will be prepared to pay to see one. I think they’ve had this in mind for a while.
The countryside is not fixed in an acrylic block or a museum, to be looked at but never touched or changed. It is evolving and the proposed changes are probably the most impactful we’ll ever see.
But we WILL see them, and we will definitely see major shifts in land use and wildlife populations because of them.