Predictions on when ALL restriction are lifted

The curve has flattened but will go on longer. Think what happens in Italy and Spain will colour our government.
my best bet is middle of May for partial lifting and September before all shops are open.
so WC 18/5/2020 for partial lifting and 7/9/2020 for full lifting.
 
I think in May. The government are spending a lot on new hospitals with the capacity for thousands of people and they are still empty. I think they’ll release us so we catch it, making herd immunity but filling the hospitals as well.
 
I love that about 5% of respondents are answering @Tazz 's question and the rest are setting their own parameters. :p

Fair enough. The question was all restrictions. I reckon about 2 weeks after we reach herd immunity.

Shortly after that the government will make solemn promises that such a tragedy will never happen again whilst knowing full well that it will and that there's nothing practical that can be done, we'll have a lovely ceremony on TV to remember those who died, then life will continue exactly as before, except with a bit of a recession and perhaps with few token gestures of grants for immunologists and virologists at a few agencies and universities. They'll make sweeping promises of extra funding for the NHS, which will, of course, never materialise, and the world will move onto the next crisis, which will be economic stimulus to mitigate the resulting recession.

The simple fact of the matter is, that the only way to truly get ahead of this kind of thing going forwards is to heavily restrict personal freedoms and to move away from this globalist approach to the world, which would have severe and lasting effects on the world economy. People won't stand for it. They might say they will now when this is a hot topic, but in the long term, or even over a few years? Not a chance.

Even as we speak compliance with the measures proposed is low even with the pandemic ongoing, the idea that actually, people will accept less money, less freedom long term on the off chance that it might mitigate this in the future is laughable. We didn't after H1N1, we didn't after swine flu, we didn't after Ebola, hell, we didn't in 1918 either and that will probably be worse than this. It's not like it should be a shock to people that this has happened, the signs were there. But people don't care. They want jobs, they want prosperity and they want the freedom to do what they want, travel where they want and not to be inconvenienced. At the same time the government simply cannot afford to take the measures that would be required to meaningfully improve our response. They'd go broke and they wouldn't be electable as soon as the groundswell of public sentiment dies down and this is forgotten (which it will).

And so, it'll happen again. Might be China, might be India, might be Europe, but another virus will jump the species barrier and by the time we identify it as a threat it'll once again be worldwide and people will die. It's inevitable. Just a fact of living on a planet with this many people in close proximity to one another, travelling at will and in close contact with so many, many things that have the potential to kill us.

Don't belive me and think this is a horribly jaded approach to life? Just today Trump announced that the US will defund the WHO, possibly the only international body with enough reach to effectively monitor and mange this type of global issue. Today, of all days.

Oh, and as for China. Governments will demand a public apology and massive reform, China will make some empty platitudes, maybe get a slap on the wrist and then things will continue exactly as before.

Enjoy fellas, it's gonna be a bumpy ride.
 
The WHO was at best asleep at the wheel, at worst grovelling and tugging it's for lock to a fundamentally dishonest communist regime that knew full well what it had unleashed.

It was our night watchman and it failed in its duty

Now all countries are focused on what it had been charged to do - and failed - I'd argue that it has no further use in its current form - we need an organisation that serves us in the West

Globalisation be damned - it has failed
 
I think we will start to see things getting back to normal in October and thats what we are advising clients to plan for.

Yes things will hopefully be eased of before then, but there is still a lot of pain to go through and its going take many people a good time to get back into doing things again.
 
1st November I reckon
We've got a long haul to get out of this one, tightening our belts will be just the beginning, the economy and the way people live and work will be getting a major overhaul
 
When all are vaccinated in the teeth of interference and denials from the anti-vaxxers (for everyone including them it's going to be compulsory, they can choose vaccination or a double tap), and when will that be? The government here has been gagging on the unpalatable truth that they appear unable to swallow and need to just spit it out, a direct and unfortunate consequence of incompetence in the face of suck it and see : it will be a good long while until a vaccine is available for all. Eighteen months from now, first week of October 2021.
 
As this virus has a 1% mortality rate which equates to 650,000 deaths, and the Gov can't allow that to happen.

Total restrictions can't be lifted until an effective vaccine is found, manufactured and administered

So my prediction is late 2021 or early 2022

Latest research says its closer to 0.38% for general population but happy to be proven wrong as I initially heard rates of 10% coming out of Italy with no context.
 
I love that about 5% of respondents are answering @Tazz 's question and the rest are setting their own parameters. :p

By Christmas 2020 or earlier all ban will be lifted with the final one being international travel for private citizens.

I base that on our retarded government which now has the lowest new cases and deaths in the world for its size of population.

The reality is if more countries such as USA and parts of Europe open international travel before that then other countries will follow suite. Literally every country followed international bans within weeks and my guess is there will be more or less the same coordination to open them up just as quick.
 
To be honest I've no idea but given this virus is clearly something far, far more deadly than we were lead to beleive (it cares not if you're a healthy 13, 28 or 62-year old) it's clear a return to "normal" social interaction may never be realised again for those over sixty.

Think mask and gloves on your daily commute to a London office, meetings via Zoom rather around a table, one person within a passenger Lift at a time and who in their right mind is going to pop into a pub in Shepherds Market after work?

In truth I'm not convinced I'll be going back to my office other than to collect a few things.

The Government should consider lowering the retirement age to 60.

K
 
To be honest I've no idea but given this virus is clearly something far, far more deadly than we were lead to beleive (it cares not if you're a healthy 13, 28 or 62-year old) it's clear a return to "normal" social interaction may never be realised again for those over sixty.

Think mask and gloves on your daily commute to a London office, meetings via Zoom rather around a table, one person within a passenger Lift at a time and who in their right mind is going to pop into a pub in Shepherds Market after work?

In truth I'm not convinced I'll be going back to my office other than to collect a few things.

The Government should consider lowering the retirement age to 60.

K
Be lucky if pensions are still payable after the bill comes in for this lot.
 
I love that about 5% of respondents are answering @Tazz 's question and the rest are setting their own parameters. :p
Good spot Carl, I was going to point that out but it could have come across as churlish, I was expecting a wide rand of dates but I figured they would be in weeks/months not years!! Let’s hope the long rang boys are wrong
 
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